AAPL Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-03

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AAPL Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-03)

Below is a synthesized review of the five reports followed by our actionable conclusion.

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Summary of Each Model’s Key Points

• Gemini/Google Report  – Technical: AAPL at $205.88 is below the daily and intraday EMAs. Daily RSI is near oversold (≈30.73) and price is near the lower Bollinger Band.  – Sentiment: Elevated volatility (VIX ~27.17 rising), negative tariff headlines, and strong put open interest support a bearish view overall.  – Recommendation: Despite the bearish backdrop, the report favors a bounce and suggests buying a slightly out‐of‐the‐money call ($215 strike, premium ≈$0.28) with a 65% confidence.

• Grok/xAI Report  – Technical: Price remains below key moving averages with oversold conditions (RSI dipped to 30.73) but with an early recovery sign.  – Sentiment: High volatility and bearish news (tariff fears) tilt the balance downward.  – Recommendation: Given the overall bearish signal, they call for a naked put at a $197.50 strike (premium ≈$0.53) with a 65% confidence.

• Claude/Anthropic Report  – Technical: Shows marked bearishness on daily charts with prices well below major EMAs; though very low RSI also hints at oversold conditions.  – Sentiment: Rising VIX and negative news about tariffs underpin a downward bias while short‐term recovery signals appear on the 5‑minute chart.  – Recommendation: Recommends buying the $197.50 put (premium ≈$0.53) with a 70% confidence, emphasizing the idea of continued downside given AAPL’s momentum.

• DeepSeek Report  – Technical: Recognizes that while the 5‑minute chart hints at a bounce, the daily picture remains steeply bearish with prices below all key EMAs and RSI oversold.  – Sentiment: Elevated volatility and conflicting signals (mean reversion versus momentum) make the directional bias uncertain.  – Recommendation: Finds the mixed signals do not provide a clear 60%+ edge and therefore no trade is recommended for today.