AAPL Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-06-18
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AAPL Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-06-18)
Comprehensive Analysis of AAPL Weekly Options Trading
1. Technical Analysis Synthesis
Current Price: AAPL is currently trading at $196.25, just below the critical support level of $197.22 (200-period EMA). 5-minute chart: Price is above the 10-period EMA ($195.68) but below the 50-period ($196.17) and 200-period ($197.22), indicating a short-term bullish crossover while showing longer-term bearish pressure. Daily chart: Price is below the 10-period EMA ($198.66) and has a bearish trend, reflected in the MACD and other indicators. RSI Levels: M5 RSI is at 60.28 (neutral), while the daily RSI is at 39.89 (approaching oversold). Bollinger Bands: On the M5 chart, the price is slightly above the upper band, suggesting potential overbought conditions, but the daily chart indicates a contraction towards the lower band, hinting at a potential reversal or bounce. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance at $200.37, with support at $195.44 and $195.70. Breaking below $195 could trigger further downside.
2. Market Sentiment Integration
Current VIX: 20.45, indicating a phase of higher volatility, could lead to larger price movements. Options Flow: Significant open interest at $200 for calls (47,051) and for puts at $195 (37,217) signals potential trader expectations for movement around these levels. Max Pain: Positioned at $200.00, this level acts as a potential price magnet as the expiration approaches.
3. Directional Determination