AAPL Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-05

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AAPL Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-05)

Model Summaries

Grok/xAI Report

Technicals: Price $198.71 below short- and mid-term EMAs on 5-min and 50-period EMAs, daily MACD weakening bullish momentum. 5-min RSI deeply oversold (15.9), daily RSI 41.0. Sentiment: VIX 22.68 trending down. Mixed news. Max pain $202.50 above current price. High put OI at $190, high call OI at $210. View: Moderately bearish. Trade: Buy $190 put @ $1.00, target +50% ($0.50) gain, stop at $0.70 (30% loss), exit above $199.50, hold to expiry.

Claude/Anthropic Report

Technicals: Price below all EMAs on 5-min and daily. 5-min RSI oversold (16), daily RSI bearish. MACD negative on both. Support at $198.26–$198.32; resistance $200.04–$200.32. Sentiment: VIX elevated but falling; mixed‐negative news. Max pain $202.50 above price; put‐call tilt favors puts. View: Moderately bearish. Trade: Buy $195 put @ $2.15, profit target $2.90 (35% gain), stop if price > $201.50 or premium < $1.50, exit in 2 days.

Gemini/Google Report