AAPL Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-06-18

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AAPL Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-06-18)

AAPL Weekly Options Trading Analysis (Expiry: 2025-06-20)

1. Key Points Summary

Based on the current options data and various model reports, the insights collected are as follows:

Current Price Position: AAPL trades at approximately $196.38, below critical moving averages emphasizing a bearish trend. Max Pain Level: The max pain level at $200 suggests that market makers will attempt to hold the price near this level as expiration approaches, which could lead to an upward bias despite opposing technical indicators. Call Options Activity: There is significant open interest in calls, particularly at the $200 strike ($47,051). However, the volume suggests a predominant bearish sentiment as puts feature stronger activity. Put Options Import: The open interest and liquidity in puts indicates a sentiment leaning toward bearish expectations, particularly at the $192.50 and $195 strikes. Volatility Indicators: The VIX at 20.45 indicates elevated market volatility, which translates to amplified movements in AAPL prices.

Overall, the consensus from the technical analysis and sentiment indicators is moderately bearish, with some pressures for a rebound toward the max pain level.

2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement