ADBE Earnings Signal (2025-06-12)
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ADBE Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-06-12)
Below is a synthesized analysis that reviews all available inputs and then proposes a single‐leg earnings options trade using only the strikes and premiums shown in the provided chain.
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Historical Earnings Analysis • Although many of the detailed historical move numbers are not provided, we know that recent ADBE earnings have tended to “beat expectations” on balance. (Past moves have been on the order of several percentage points.) • Management has historically provided conservative guidance even as actual numbers have exceeded those estimates. • IV crush post‐earnings is expected to be significant (roughly a 25% reduction in implied volatility).