AFRM Earnings Signal (2025-05-08)

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AFRM Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-08)

# Synthesis of Model Reports

## 1. Grok/xAI Report - **Bias**: Moderately Bullish - **Key Points**: - Historical average post-earnings move ~14.7%, slight bullish bias (6/8 up). - Broke above 50-day MA, high RSI (81.9). - Open interest concentrated in $55 calls. - IV crush ~25% post-earnings. - Recommends buying the $55 call (ask $3.50, expiry 2025-05-09). - Confidence 75%, profit target $1.75, stop-loss $2.62.

## 2. Claude/Anthropic Report - **Bias**: Moderately Bearish - **Key Points**: - Overbought RSI and “buy the rumor, sell the news” setup. - Max pain at $49.50, heavy put OI at $51 and $50. - Recommends buying the $49 put (ask $1.28, expiry 2025-05-09). - Confidence 65%, profit target $2.56, stop-loss $0.64.

## 3. Llama/Meta Report - **Bias**: Moderately Bullish - **Key Points**: - Historical tendency to beat estimates, cautious skew. - Technology sector tailwinds. - Recommends the $55 call (ask $3.50, expiry 2025-05-09). - Confidence 80%, profit target $3.50, stop-loss $1.75.

## 4. Gemini/Google Report - **Bias**: Moderately Bearish - **Key Points**: - Extremely overbought RSI (81.9) with massive OTM put volume. - P/C volume ratio ~19.7, max pain $49.50. - Recommends the $48 put (ask $1.00, expiry 2025-05-09). - Confidence 70%, profit target $2.00, stop-loss $— (premium risk only).