ALAB Earnings Signal (2025-05-06)
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ALAB Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-06)
Model Summaries
1. Grok/xAI Report
Historical move ~12.5%, slight bearish post-earnings bias (4 of last 6). Mixed guidance, elevated IV pre-earnings, 20–30% IV crush historically. Pre-earnings momentum but insider selling and elevated VIX argue caution. Conclusion: Moderately Bearish → Recommend 5 × May 9 2025 $70 puts at $3.80.
2. Claude/Anthropic Report
Limited ALAB history, but overbought RSI (73.8) and insider selling flagged. Balanced open interest, max-pain $65 below spot, high valuations. Conclusion: Moderately Bearish → Recommend May 9 2025 $70 puts at $3.80.