AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-03-20

AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-03-20)

Comprehensive Analysis of AMD Weekly Options Reports

1. Summary of Key Points by Model

| Model | Direction | Strategy | Confidence | Key Rationale | |--------------------|-----------------|-------------------|------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | ChatGPT/OpenAI | Moderately Bearish | $105 Put | 70% | Weak short-term technicals, max pain at $105, high put liquidity | | Grok/xAI | Moderately Bullish | $107 Call | 65% | Daily EMA alignment, falling VIX, oversold RSI on 5-minute | | Gemini/Google | Moderately Bearish | $105 Put | 65% | Short-term bearish momentum, max pain gravity, bearish options data | | Claude/Anthropic| Moderately Bullish | $108 Call | 72% | Daily uptrend, oversold M5 RSI, bullish options skew, falling VIX | | DeepSeek | Moderately Bearish | $105 Put | 60% | Max pain at $105, weak 5-minute EMAs, high put OI, sector headwinds |

2. Areas of Agreement & Disagreement

Agreements:

Key Level: All models recognize $105 as critical due to max pain. Technical Context: Bearish models cite weak 5-minute technicals (RSI, EMA); bullish models note daily chart strength. VIX Impact: Falling VIX seen as reducing volatility (bullish) but limiting downside (bearish). Time Sensitivity: Weekly expiration demands tight risk management.

Disagreements:

Direction: Split between bullish (2 models) and bearish (3 models). Options Strategy: Puts ($105) vs. Calls ($107/$108). Max Pain Impact: Bearish models see max pain as a downside driver; bullish models dismiss it as secondary to technicals. RSI Interpretation: Oversold 5-minute RSI seen as bounce signal (bullish) vs. confirmation of weakness (bearish).

3. Conclusion & Recommendation