AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-07
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AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-07)
Below is our integrated analysis of the five reports:
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Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
• Grok/xAI Report – Technicals show a short‐term (5‑minute) hint of bullishness (price above the 10‑EMA) but a strong longer‑term bearish bias on the daily chart (prices far below the 50‑ and 200‑EMAs). – Daily RSI is deeply oversold while Bollinger Bands on the day suggest a potential pause or reversal. – Market volatility is high (VIX 48.38) and news on tariffs adds downside pressure. – Recommendation: Buy a weekly put option at a strike near the current price ($84 put) despite the premium being slightly high (~$3.60). Confidence ≈ 65%.
• Gemini/Google Report – Daily moving averages confirm a strong bearish trend while the oversold daily RSI hints at a potential bounce—but the minute‐chart shows only a transient stabilization. – VIX is extremely high and news is negative for semiconductors. – Conflicting signals are noted (technical bounce potential vs. overwhelming downside risk and a max pain level at $90). – Conclusion: The signals are too mixed, and the model recommends no trade today (confidence ≈ 30%).
• Claude/Anthropic Report – Although the daily charts indicate AMD is extremely oversold (RSI ~21.57 and deep below major EMAs), the short‑term M5 chart suggests that stabilization is emerging. – The max pain level at $90 is interpreted as a potential upward “gravitational pull.” – Recommendation: Buy weekly calls (proposing an $88 call) to ride a possible relief rally. Confidence ≈ 65%.
• Llama/Meta Report – Price is below key moving averages on both intraday and daily charts with the daily chart pointing to clear oversold conditions. – Support and resistance levels reinforce the bearish view, and option chain data (higher put premiums) adds to the sentiment. – Recommendation: Buy a weekly put option; the model favors the $85 put (ask ~$3.55) even though it is a bit above the ideal premium range. Confidence ≈ 70%.
• DeepSeek Report – The daily chart shows an “extreme bearish” move with a 20% decline along with oversold RSI and breakdown below key EMAs. – Intraday, the price is consolidating but remains under pressure near resistance. – Despite a max pain level above the current price, the downside technical weakness and negative news dominate. – Recommendation: Execute a weekly bearish trade by buying an $83 put (premium ≈ $3.15). Confidence ≈ 65%.