AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-03-31
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AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-03-31)
Below is a consolidated analysis of the five reports, followed by our overall conclusion and trade recommendation.
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Summary of Each Report’s Key Points
• Gemini/Google Report: – Technical indicators on AMD show a mix of signals: the daily chart is clearly bearish (price below all EMAs; RSI neutral to low) while the 5‐minute chart hints at some short‐term recovery. – Market sentiment is mixed with rising volatility (VIX at 24.01) and conflicting news. – The max pain level at $106 and intraday bounce create uncertainty. – Overall, the report finds the directional bias unclear and does not recommend a trade (confidence about 35%).
• Grok/xAI Report: – Daily price action remains bearish (price below key EMAs, RSI around 43) but the 5‐minute chart shows slight short-term bullishness. – Technical support is around $101–$102 and resistance just above $103; meanwhile, high put OI supports a bearish bias. – Despite some bullish intraday moves, the analysis stresses a moderately bearish view. – Based on these factors, the report recommends a naked put trade – buying the $99 put (premium ≈ $0.99) with a market‐open entry and a stop criterion tied to resistance levels; trade confidence is around 70%.
• Claude/Anthropic Report: – A clear look at multiple timeframes shows that while intraday momentum (5‑minute RSI nearing 67) appears positive, the daily chart is in a downtrend (price under all key EMAs with an RSI near 43). – The analysis notes rising volatility (VIX up) and mixed news sentiment. – The options data (max pain at $106, liquid put strikes) support a moderately bearish scenario. – The recommended trade is a naked put – specifically, buying a $98 strike (premium about $0.78) on the upcoming weekly expiry, with defined stop‐loss and profit target levels; confidence was rated around 65%.
• Llama/Meta Report: – The short‑term (5‑minute) chart shows a little bullish price action (price above short EMAs, near overbought RSI) but the daily trend is clearly bearish (price under longer EMAs, declining over the last 5 days). – With a max pain of $106 and recent consolidation below the middle Bollinger Band, overall sentiment is moderately bearish. – The report favors a naked put option strategy – recommending the $99 put (premium ≈ $0.99) to capture a continuation of the downside move, with entry at market open; overall confidence stands at about 65%.