AMZN Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-20
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AMZN Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-20)
Model Summaries Grok/xAI Report • Technicals are mixed: intraday momentum is weak, daily momentum slightly overbought but not extreme. • Price is consolidating near EMAs with low volatility (narrow Bollinger Bands). • RSI and MACD give neutral/unclear signals. • Max Pain at $200 suggests potential downward pull, but no clear directional edge. • Conclusion: Neutral bias, no trade, confidence 25%.
Claude/Anthropic Report • Intraday technicals are bearish (below 5-min EMAs, negative MACD), while daily chart remains above the 10-day EMA. • Recent pullback of 3 lower daily closes and Max Pain at $200 support a moderately bearish view. • Options data show strong liquidity at $200 puts. • Recommendation: Buy $200 puts expiring 05/23 at $0.77 ask, profit target $1.15, stop loss $0.58, confidence 65%.
Llama/Meta Report • Short-term indicators bearish, longer-term indicators bullish, overall neutral-to-slightly-bearish. • Max Pain at $200 aligns with bearish tilt. • Conservative play: buy $200 weekly puts at $0.77, stop ~50% down, target +50–100%. • Confidence 70%.