AMZN Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-01

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AMZN Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-01)

Model Summaries

• Grok/xAI Report – Current AMZN price $184.42; mixed 5-day up vs 30-day down. – M5 RSI >80 overbought; Daily RSI ~50 neutral. – M5 MACD bullish but slowing on Daily. – Near upper Bollinger on M5; normal Daily volatility. – Key support ~$181.7, resistance ~$187.7. – VIX elevated but falling; Max Pain $180. – Conclusion: Neutral/Unclear → No trade (40% confidence).

• Gemini/Google Report – Strong M5 close above EMAs, but daily pullback on volume. – M5 RSI overbought, Daily RSI neutral, M5 MACD bullish, Daily MACD bearish. – Max Pain at $180 suggests downside pull; VIX 25. – Conflicting signals; direction Neutral/Unclear → No trade (<60% confidence).

• Claude/Anthropic Report – M5 shows short-term strength; Daily shows intermediate weakness. – M5 overbought, Daily MACD flattening; price between support $181.7 and resistance ~$187.4. – VIX =25, falling; Max Pain $180. – Bias: Moderately Bearish → Buy May‐week $182.50 put (est. premium $0.40–$0.60). – Confidence 65%; stop-loss 50%, profit target 100%, exit by EOD.