APLD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-15

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APLD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-15)

Below is a consolidated analysis of the reports and our trading conclusion for APLD weekly options:

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SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS

• Grok/xAI – Notes a very steep recent decline (–31.50% over 5 days, –49.71% over a month) and prices well below key EMAs on short‐ and longer‐term charts. – Highlights oversold RSI levels, lower‐band Bollinger touches, and bearish MACD on the daily chart. – Emphasizes heavy put flow at the $3.50 strike with strong technical support near $3.38–$3.41. – Recommends a bearish view: a naked put trade (buy the $3.50 put at a $0.20 premium) with enter‐at‐open and risk management based on break of support.

• Gemini/Google – Confirms the deep decline and that the stock is trading far below major moving averages. – While the RSI is extremely oversold, it warns that such conditions can sometimes trigger a brief bounce. – Notes very high put volumes and open interest (both at $3.50 and $4.00 strikes). – Prefers buying a put at the $4.00 level (premium ~0.63), given its ITM nature and liquidity, with tight stops if support is reclaimed.