ARM Earnings Signal (2025-05-07)
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ARM Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-07)
Model Reports Summary
1. Grok/xAI Report
Historical move: ∼10.5% average post‐earnings, slight bullish bias (60% positive surprises) Guidance: mixed record, occasional misses Pre‐earnings: uptrend, RSI ≈79 (overbought) Options: high activity around $120 puts and $130 calls, IV elevated (IV rank ≈0.75) Market: VIX 24.8 (elevated), tariff concerns vs. AI tailwinds Conclusion: Neutral/Unclear Suggested: Long May 9 $125 call @ $3.75 (stop $1.88, target $7.50)
2. Claude/Anthropic Report
Limited public earnings history (IPO in 2023) Momentum: trading >50/20 DMA, RSI ≈79 (overbought) Options skew: balanced, big OI at $130 calls (2,118) & $115 puts (1,016) Sector: mixed semiconductor, AI tailwinds vs. tariff risks Sentiment: rising VIX, analyst target $147 (+20%) Conclusion: Moderately Bullish Suggested: Long May 9 $136 call @ $0.94 (stop $0.47, target $2.82)
3. Llama/Meta Report