ASML Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16

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ASML Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16)

Below is our integrated analysis of the ASML weekly options setup based on the provided reports and current options data:

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Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points

• Grok/xAI Report  – Technicals show ASML trading below all major moving averages with a daily RSI in neutral‐to‐mildly bearish territory.  – Bollinger Bands point to a near–oversold condition on the daily chart while the MACD remains bearish overall.  – The max pain is well above current price, but the existence of nearby support levels creates uncertainty.  – Concludes with a moderately bearish picture and no trade recommendation (confidence 40%).

• Claude/Anthropic Report  – Technicals reveal the price is below key EMAs with moderate bearish momentum and testing of immediate resistance at around $646–$647.  – Despite hints of slowing momentum (MACD divergence), the picture is dominated by negative news and high put activity near current levels.  – Recommends a bearish trade using a put option at the $635 strike (premium roughly around $5.50) with risk/reward parameters, giving a 65% confidence.