BA Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-06-13

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BA Swing Analysis Summary (2025-06-13)

Below is a consolidated analysis of the BA swing‐trade setup using the models and options data provided.

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SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS

• Grok/xAI Report  – Price has recently dropped (~6.6% in 5 days) even though the 30‐day trend is positive; however, on intraday (15‑min) charts the stock is trading below key moving averages.  – Technical indicators (EMA, MACD, Bollinger Bands) and an RSI on the 15‑min chart (deeply oversold) suggest that—despite a potential for a minor bounce—the overall short‑term bias is bearish.  – The options data (with heavy put open interest and max pain at $200) along with negative news (manufacturing issues, 787 incident) lead to a moderately bearish view.  – Recommends buying a single‑leg naked put (targeting the $195 strike).

• Llama/Meta Report  – Confirms the stock’s bearish trend on multiple timeframes with prices below key moving averages and a bearish MACD crossover.  – Notes oversold conditions on the 15‑min chart but an overall downtrend on the daily view.  – Emphasizes that the negative news and rising volatility (VIX at 18.02) support a bearish directional bias.  – Similarly suggests buying puts—identifying the $195 strike put as attractive.