BABA Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-15
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BABA Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-15)
Model Summaries Grok/xAI Report (Bullish) Technicals show BABA above key EMAs on M15, daily, weekly; RSI slightly below overbought; positive MACD across most timeframes; price near upper Bollinger Bands. News: mixed earnings but CFO optimism. VIX normal. Options: max pain at $122 (bearish signal) but heavy call OI at strikes 135–145. Conclusion: Moderately bullish. Recommends buying the $135 call (exp 5/30) at $5.70, stop ~1.8% under recent swing low, profit toward $140–$145. Confidence 75%.
Claude/Anthropic Report (Bearish)
Technicals: bullish EMAs but RSI overbought on daily; price testing resistance ~134.07–134.10; daily Bollinger Band overextension. News: earnings miss creates headwind; VIX falling. Options: max pain $122, heavy put OI below, call OI at 135 as resistance. Conclusion: Moderately bearish. Recommends buying the $130 put (exp 5/30) at $4.75, target support at $126.10, stop at 40% premium loss. Confidence 75%.
Gemini/Google Report (Bullish)
Technicals strongly bullish on all EMAs; some overextension signs on daily. News: 5% post‐earnings drop already priced in; VIX easing. Options: max pain far below current price but call OI at 135–140 suggests upside barriers. Conclusion: Bullish. Recommends buying the $140 call (exp 5/30) at $4.00, 50% profit target, 50% stop. Confidence 80%.