BILI Earnings Signal (2025-05-19)
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BILI Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-19)
# Synthesis of Model Reports and Trade Recommendation for BILI
## 1. Model Summaries
**Grok/xAI** - Directional Bias: Moderately Bullish - Historical Move: ~8.2% average post-earnings - IV Crush: ~20–25% expected - Recommended Trade: Buy 2025-05-23 $18.00 calls at $0.88
**Claude/Anthropic** - Directional Bias: Moderately Bullish - Technicals: Above 20/50/200-day MAs, rising volume - Options Flow: OI skew to calls, high liquidity at $19.00 - Recommended Trade: Buy 2025-05-23 $19.00 calls at $0.53
**Llama/Meta** - Directional Bias: Moderately Bullish - Sector & Sentiment: Supportive sector trends, falling VIX - Strike Selection: $19.00 call for optimal risk/reward - Recommended Trade: Buy 2025-05-23 $19.00 calls at $0.53
**Gemini/Google** - Directional Bias: Moderately Bullish (65% confidence) - Expected Move: ~9.3% implied by straddle cost - Chosen Trade: $19.00 call, breakeven $19.53, target ~$20.69 - Risk Rules: Exit post-earnings; 2–3% portfolio risk