CASY Earnings Signal (2025-06-09)
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CASY Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-06-09)
CASY Earnings Options Trade Synthesis
Below is a consolidated analysis of the five model reports, followed by our conclusion and trade recommendation.
1. Model Summaries
Grok/xAI
Historical move: ~3.5% average post-earnings Directional bias: Moderately Bearish (6 of 8 quarters positive, but last two negative) IV crush: 25–35% post-earnings Options signal: High OI at $440 puts; skew bearish Trade: Buy 2025-06-20 $440 put @ $16.70; Profit target $25; Stop $12; Confidence 70% Claude/Anthropic
Move: 3–6% range; mixed history with recent technical weakness Bias: Moderately Bearish (below 20-day MA, heavy put OI) Trade: Buy 2025-06-20 $440 put ~mid $15.95; Breakeven $424; Target $420; Stop 50% premium; Confidence 72% Llama/Meta
Mixed signals; slight skew toward puts but max-pain at $450 Bias: Moderately Bullish (positive sector, support near max-pain) Trade: Buy 2025-06-20 $450 call @ $13.00; Stop $0.50; Target +100%; Confidence 70% Gemini/Google