CELH Earnings Signal (2025-05-05)
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CELH Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-05)
Summary of Model Reports
1. Grok/xAI Report
Historical Move: ±7.7% average post‐earnings move over 8 quarters, 50/50 bullish vs. bearish. Pre‐Earnings Setup: Oversold RSI, trading below 20-day MA. Unusual activity in $31.50 puts and $38 calls. IV Crush: Significant (30–40% decline expected). Directional View: Neutral/Unclear. Strategies: Buy $35.50 calls at $1.79 (Exp. 05-09, BMO). Buy $31.50 puts at $0.95 (Exp. 05-09, BMO). Confidence: 65% each.
2. Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: RSI 31, trading just above 50/200-day MAs but showing bearish momentum. Options Flow: Heavy put OI at $32.00 and $30.00 strikes, institutional hedging. Valuation & Estimates: P/E 76.6, revenue est. −4.4%, elevated downside risk. Directional View: Moderately Bearish. Strategy: Buy $31.00 puts at $0.80 (Exp. 05-09, AMC). Confidence: 75%.
3. Gemini/Google Report
Broad Look: Negative revenue growth, high audit risk (10/10), bearish technicals outweigh low‐bar potential. Options Skew: Put skew, especially OTM puts. Directional View: Moderately Bearish. Strategy: Buy $31.00 puts at $0.80 (Exp. 05-09, AMC). Stop/Loss & Target: 100% max loss, 100% profit target. Confidence: 65%.
4. Llama/Meta Report