CRCL Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-06-09

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CRCL Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-06-09)

Model Summaries

Grok/xAI Report

Technicals: Short-term bearish momentum (price below 10-period EMA, negative MACD histogram) but near oversold (RSI ~41, price near lower Bollinger Band). Support at $115.20, resistance at $116.34. Sentiment: VIX falling; crypto-sector news positive but little open interest in options; max pain at $100 suggests downside. Conclusion: Moderately bearish; recommends buying the $115 put at 2025-06-20 expiry, targeting a 50% gain, with a 50% stop-loss.

Claude/Anthropic Report

Technicals: Bears have edge intraday (price below both short EMAs, negative MACD, RSI ~41, near lower Bollinger Band). Sentiment: Falling VIX, positive news vs. max pain at $100 and light positioning. Conclusion: Moderately bearish; buy the $115 put, mid-premium ~$12.95, 30–50% profit target, 25% stop-loss, exit by Thursday.

Llama/Meta Report