CRWV Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-16
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CRWV Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-16)
Model Summaries • Grok/xAI: Strongly bullish. Price above key EMAs on all timeframes, RSI/MACD confirm momentum. Positive news (Nvidia, OpenAI) supports further upside. Recommends buying the May 30 $85 call for $8.40, profit target +20%, stop-loss −20%. Confidence 85%. • Claude/Anthropic: Moderately bullish. Similar technical and news-driven case, but notes overbought RSI and resistance looming at ~$83. Recommends the same May 30 $85 call, profit target +25%, stop-loss −20%. Confidence 75%. • Llama/Meta: Moderately bearish. Emphasizes extreme overextension (RSI > 80, price well above upper Bollinger band) and max pain at $70. Suggests a put near current levels (e.g. $80 or $75 strike) but finds liquidity and premium challenges. Confidence 80%. • Gemini/Google: Neutral/No Trade. Acknowledges powerful bullish trend but cites extreme overbought, high premiums, and max pain mismatch making new entries unfavorable. Confidence 40% for a bullish entry, 50% for bearish. • DeepSeek: Moderately bearish. Overbought RSI and Bollinger divergence support a pullback; aligns with max pain at $70 and put open interest at $75. Recommends the May 30 $75 put at $6.40, profit targets at +50% / +100%, stop-loss −25%. Confidence 70%.
Areas of Agreement and Disagreement • Agreement: – CRWV’s recent news‐driven rally is very strong. – Technical indicators (RSI, Bollinger Bands) are overbought/extended. – Implied volatility and premiums are elevated. • Disagreement: – Directional bias: two models bullish, two bearish, one neutral. – Trade recommendation: calls vs. puts vs. no trade. – Risk appetite: willingness to chase momentum vs. wait for pullback.