IBIT Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-18

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IBIT Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-18)

Model Summaries

Grok/xAI Report

Technicals (5-min): Short-term bullish (price above 10/50 EMAs, MACD crossover), but near upper Bollinger Band. Technicals (daily): Bullish (above 10-EMA, positive MACD), but daily RSI >70 signals overbought. Sentiment: VIX falling, institutional ETF exit not yet impactful, call OI concentrated at $60.00/60.50. Max Pain: $55.00 suggests longer-term bearish pressure. Trade: Buy the $60.00 call at $0.80, target +30% to $1.04, stop at 50% loss ($0.40), confidence 65%.

Claude/Anthropic Report

Technicals: Bullish across both 5-min and daily charts (price above all EMAs, positive MACD, RSI building though daily RSI near overbought). Support/Resistance: Support $58.96, resistance near $59.22 and $59.75. Sentiment: VIX normal/falling, ETF exit minor, strong call interest at $60.00 and higher strikes. Max Pain: $55.00 much lower than spot. Trade: Long $60.00 call at $0.80, target $1.60/secondary $1.20, stop $0.40, confidence 72%.

Llama/Meta Report