IWM 0DTE Options Trade Plan 2025-03-21
IWM 0DTE Analysis Summary (2025-03-21)
Comprehensive Analysis of AI Model Reports on IWM 0DTE Options
1. Summary of Each Model's Key Points
| Model | Directional Bias | Key Rationale | Trade Recommendation | Confidence | |---------------------|----------------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------------------|----------------| | Grok/xAI | Neutral/No Trade | Mixed technical signals, unclear trend, VIX downtick neutralized by weak price action. Max pain ($213) too distant. | No trade recommended. | 40% | | ChatGPT/OpenAI | Moderately Bullish | Daily recovery above 10-EMA, max pain ($213) as upward catalyst, tight 5-minute range favoring call. | Buy $207 call (entry: $0.47; target: $0.70–$0.94; stop: $0.25). | 70% | | Gemini/Google | Moderately Bearish | Declining 5-minute RSI, expanding Bollinger Bands to downside, elevated put volume, price below key MAs. | Buy $203 put (entry: $0.50; target: $0.60; stop: $0.40). | 70% | | Claude/Anthropic| Moderately Bearish | Price below critical support ($205.05), bearish M5 RSI momentum, elevated put OI at $202/$200 strikes. | Buy $202 put (entry: $0.30; target: $0.60–$0.90; stop: $0.15). | 65% | | DeepSeek | Moderately Bearish | Price near 5-minute support ($205.05), bearish daily alignment, heavy put OI at $203. Volume spike signals selling. | Buy $203 put (entry: $0.50; target: $0.75; stop: $0.25). | 65% |
2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreements:
Technical Setup: Most models note short-term bearish signals (price below 5-minute MAs, declining RSI). VIX: Universally cited at 20.00 (neutral volatility). Key Support: $204.85–$205.05 as critical short-term support. Max Pain: Recognized at $213.00 but dismissed as irrelevant by bears, considered a bullish catalyst by Grok/ChatGPT.
Disagreements:
Direction: 3 models favor puts (bearish), 1 calls (bullish), 1 neutral. Max Pain Impact: Bullish models (ChatGPT/Grok) see upward potential; others disregard due to distance. Daily Chart Interpretation: Bears emphasize long-term downtrend; ChatGPT cites recovery above 10-EMA.
3. Conclusion and Trade Recommendation