IWM Credit Spread Options Trade Plan 2025-06-12
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IWM Spread Options Analysis Summary (2025-06-12)
Below is the integrated analysis based on the available reports:
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Key Points from Each Report
• GK Report: – Price is currently at approximately $212.78 with technical indicators showing near-neutral conditions. On short‐term charts the 10‐period EMA is just below the price, but the longer‐term 200‐EMA remains above. – Indicators such as RSI and Bollinger Bands show balance with low volatility, and MACD hints at a potential bullish divergence on very short timeframes. – The support/resistance levels are tight around $212.57–$213.09. However, market sentiment is mixed: while technicals show slight bullish intraday bias, broader sentiment (rising VIX, max pain at $208) creates uncertainty. – Conclusion: Neutral/unclear directional bias – hence GK recommends no spread trade today.
• LM Report: – On very short-term (5-minute) and daily charts, the technical picture is mixed. The 5-minute EMA crossover suggests slight bearishness while on the daily the price is above its short-term EMA. – RSI on the daily chart is moving closer to overbought levels, and the MACD shows bearish signals (with a bearish crossover on both timeframes). – Market sentiment is colored by inflation concerns, rising volatility (VIX at 18.02), and a max pain at $208. Based on this, LM leans moderately bearish. – Recommended trade (if trading): a bearish vertical put spread (sell the $211 put and buy the $209 put) to take advantage of the down move with moderate credit. – Confidence level noted is 70%.