JBL Earnings Signal (2025-06-16)
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JBL Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-06-16)
Jabil (JBL) Earnings Options Trade Analysis
Comprehensive Earnings Options Trade Plan
1. Historical Earnings Analysis
Average Earnings Move Magnitude: Historical moves for JBL are not provided, but similar companies in tech typically see post-earnings moves of 5-10%. Directional Bias in Post-Earnings Reactions: Recent news indicates JBL has had mixed reactions; notably, it “fell more than the broader market” on June 13, suggesting potential bearish pressure. However, anticipation for revenue growth may create countervailing bullish sentiment. Guidance and Management Credibility: Guidance history is not explicitly provided, so we cannot gauge management credibility. Historical Options Premiums and IV Crush Patterns: The presence of elevated implied volatility suggests a risk of IV crush post-earnings; options may see premiums decay significantly if results do not exceed expectations.
2. Current Setup Evaluation
Pre-Earnings Price Action and Volume Trends: Current price, day range, and volume trends are not available, but the technical RSI at 74.57 suggests overbought conditions, indicating a potential for reversion or a bearish outcome. Options Chain for Unusual Activity: High open interest in calls and significant volume in out-of-the-money puts indicates strong positioning. Specifically, the max pain level is noted at $160.00, far below current pricing. Current IV vs. Historical Earnings IV: Rising VIX at 20.82 indicates elevated market volatility; this may increase earnings-related moves. Put/Call Ratio and Options Skew: The put/call ratio is skewed towards puts, particularly with high OI on $160 puts, suggesting bearish sentiment among traders.