LCID Earnings Signal (2025-05-06)

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LCID Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-06)

# Synthesis of LCID Earnings Options Models

## 1. Model Summaries

**Grok/xAI Report** - Historical move ~10.15% average, slight negative bias (6 of 8 quarters down). - Elevated pre-earnings IV (rank ~0.75), tight trading range $2.29–$2.41. - Moderately Bearish outlook. - Recommends $2.50 put at $0.28 (expiry 2025-05-09), 75% confidence, 150% profit target, 0.05 stop-loss.

**Claude/Anthropic Report** - Consistent production misses, negative guidance, average move ~8–10%. - Stock at 50-day MA, below 200-day MA, RSI 42.6, rising put OI. - Moderately Bearish. - Recommends $2.50 put at $0.28, 65% confidence, 100% profit target, 0.14 stop-loss.