LLY Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-14
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LLY Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-14)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals: Price below major EMAs (5-min & daily), bearish MACD, daily RSI ~39 (neutral-bearish), 5-min RSI ~25 (short-term oversold) Bollinger Bands: Near lower band, could see bounce or continuation down Max Pain: $785 well above current price, may exert upward pressure later Direction: Moderately Bearish Recommended Trade: Buy $735 put (premium ~$10.70, outside ideal range), profit target 25%, stop-loss 50% of premium, enter at open Confidence: 62%
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: Price well below MAs, bearish MACD on both timeframes, RSI oversold short-term, daily RSI bearish Bollinger Bands: Near lower bands, confirming downtrend Market: Normal VIX, high put OI at $730/$720/$700 strikes Direction: Moderately Bearish Recommended Trade: Buy $700 put (premium ~$2.22), target 80% gain, stop-loss 40% of premium, exit by day-end of May 15 Confidence: 65%
Llama/Meta Report
Technicals: Below daily EMAs, bearish RSI/MACD, widening Bollinger Bands Market Sentiment: VIX falling, neutral news, max pain $785 Direction: Moderately Bearish Recommended Trade: Buy $725 put (premium ~$9.20), target 20% gain, stop-loss 50% of premium, enter at open Confidence: 72%