META Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-04

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META Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-04)

Below is the integrated analysis of the five reports:

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Comprehensive Summaries

• Gemini/Google Report  – On very short time scales (5‑minute charts) META’s price is above the 10‑ and 50‑period EMAs but remains well below the 200‑period EMA—and on the daily chart the stock is below all major MAs.  – The RSI is moderate intraday yet extremely oversold on daily, while Bollinger Bands suggest that intraday the price is near the upper band but daily it is hugging the lower band.  – Very high VIX (41.61) together with mixed but generally negative recent news (including a 12% drop over the past week) support a moderately bearish view.  – Recommendation: Buy a naked PUT option at a $505 strike (premium ≈$0.47) expiring today.

• Grok/xAI Report  – The price closed near $512, with the short‐term 10‑EMA trending upward but the 50‑ and 200‑EMAs still above the current price. This indicates consolidation in the near term with long‑term bearish pressure.  – Intraday indicators (RSI, Bollinger Bands) are near neutral/balancing, but the daily RSI is very oversold—even if that sometimes hints at a bounce.  – The report also notes high volatility (VIX ~41.61) plus options data (max pain at $550) with slightly more put interest.  – Although a bearish trade is favored, the recommended leg (a naked put at roughly $507.50 for a premium ≈$0.90) is a bit outside the ideal premium range; overall, the view remains moderately bearish.

• Claude/Anthropic Report  – Using similar technicals, META is above short‐term but below longer‑term EMAs with a declining daily trend (price below the daily 50‑EMA) and an extremely oversold daily RSI (22.72).  – Bollinger bands further confirm that the daily price is trading deep in the “oversold” territory.  – The high VIX and negative news catalysts reinforce the bearish bias.  – Recommendation: Buy a naked PUT option at $505 with an ask near $0.47; this aligns well with the risk/reward profile and liquidity considerations.

• Llama/Meta Report  – This analysis also finds META trading below its 10, 50, and 200‑EMAs and notes oversold conditions on the daily RSI, yet it acknowledges that oversold levels might promote a short‐term bounce.  – Instead of a put, the report suggests a contrarian idea: a naked CALL option could capture a potential “bounce” upward toward the max pain level (around $550).  – The recommended play is a call at $515 with a premium of roughly $1.26—even though that premium is slightly higher than the ideal $0.30–$0.60 window.  – The report still admits the overall trend remains bearish but points to the possibility of a short squeeze or technical reversal.

• DeepSeek Report  – No detailed content was provided from DeepSeek. Its inclusion suggests that another viewpoint was intended, but without specifics we note that all prior reports already emphasize high volatility and a generally bearish technical framework with hints of oversold caution.