MPC Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-07

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MPC Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-07)

Model Summaries

Grok/xAI Report

Technicals: Short-term bearish (price below 10-period EMA on M5), longer-term support (price above 50/200 EMAs). M5 RSI oversold; daily RSI overbought. MACD weakening bearish on M5, bullish crossover on daily. Sentiment: Rising VIX, positive Q1 earnings and analyst upgrades. Max pain at $142 suggests neutral to slight bearish pull. Direction: Moderately bullish (daily bull momentum expected to resume from oversold M5). Trade: Buy weekly calls. Preferred strikes $150.00 (premium $1.35/$0.30) or $152.50 (premium $0.30/$0.10). Profit targets and stops defined. Confidence 75%.

Claude/Anthropic Report

Technicals: Bullish on daily (price above key EMAs, positive MACD), but M5 shows oversold RSI and bearish M5 MACD. Sentiment: Rising VIX, strong earnings/news. Options max pain at $142. High put OI at $144. Direction: Moderately bearish short-term within longer bull trend (profit-taking potential toward $142). Trade: Buy 2025-05-09 $142 put at $0.60. Profit target 100%, stop loss 40%. Confidence 65%.

Llama/Meta Report

Technicals: Neutral to slightly bearish. Price below M5 10-EMA, M5 MACD bearish, RSI oversold. Bullish news vs. rising VIX and max pain at $142. Direction: Moderately bearish. Trade: Buy $140 put at $0.80. Profit target 50%, stop loss 100%. Confidence 70%.