MRNA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-01
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MRNA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-01)
Below is a consolidated analysis of the five model reports:
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Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
• Gemini/Google Report – Technical indicators show MRNA trading below key EMAs on both intraday and daily charts, with an oversold daily RSI around 27.63 and near the daily lower Bollinger Band. – Negative news, rising VIX, and heavier put volume add weight to a bearish reading. – Recommended trade: Buy a single‐leg, naked put option at a $27.00 strike (premium ≈ $0.63), to be entered at market open with a profit target and stop‑loss set at approximately 50% of the premium; confidence rated at about 65%.
• Grok/xAI Report – Analysis confirms that MRNA is in a downtrend (price below the 10-/50-/200-day EMAs) with oversold conditions on RSI. – Elevated volatility (VIX at 22.64) and negative biotech news further support a bearish outlook. – Recommended trade: Buy a naked put option at a $27.50 strike (premium ≈ $0.87) to be entered at market open; plan includes profit-taking based on a 50% gain on premium and a defined stop loss—confidence is higher at around 75%.
• Claude/Anthropic Report – Confirms that MRNA is trading below key moving averages on both the 5‑minute and daily charts, with oversold RSI readings and price touching or below Bollinger Bands. – Highlights negative sentiment from news (e.g., FDA official resignation, biotech pressures) and increased put open interest. – Recommended trade: Buy a naked put option at a slightly lower strike of $26.50 (premium ≈ $0.45) expiring soon (weekly expiry on April 4, 2025), with profit target/stop loss levels aligned to a 100% gain/50% loss scenario; confidence rated at 72%.
• Llama/Meta Report – Uses multi‐timeframe technicals; the 5‑minute chart shows the price below both the 10‑ and 50‑period EMAs while the daily chart confirms a bearish trend with oversold conditions. – Notes mixed intraday behavior but overall expects continued downward pressure, with negative news and high put volume reinforcing the bearish case. – Recommended trade: Buy the $27.00 naked put option (ask ≈ $0.63) at market open; targets include a 50% profit on the premium and a stop loss at a full loss of the premium; confidence around 70%.