MSFT Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-16

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MSFT Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-16)

Model Summaries • Grok/xAI Report – Technicals: MSFT at $449.18, above 10/50-day EMAs and 200-week EMA; daily RSI 76 (overbought), weekly RSI 65; daily/weekly MACD bullish. – Support/Resistance: resistance ~456–458, support ~430, max pain at $445. – Sentiment: VIX ~17.8 (low); positive news but EU antitrust risk. – Recommendation: buy $470 call (May 30) at $0.81; stop at $0.50; profit-take 10–20%; 72% confidence.

• Claude/Anthropic Report – Technicals: strong uptrend on all timeframes; consolidation after pullback; daily RSI 76, weekly RSI 65; M15 neutral. – Sentiment: falling VIX; supportive news; max pain $445. – Chain: high OI at $455 calls (17.3k) & $445 puts (10.8k); call/put skew bullish. – Recommendation: buy $455 call (May 30) at $4.25; profit targets 35%/50%; stop at 25% loss; 73% confidence.

• Llama/Meta Report – Technicals: bullish weekly/daily; overbought RSI; pullback on M15 may set up bounce. – Sentiment: VIX falling; news broadly positive; max pain at $445 may cap downside. – Chain: attractive OTM calls at $470 ($0.81), $465 ($1.46). – Recommendation: buy $470 call (May 30) at $0.81; PT +50%; SL at MSFT $447.50 (~50% premium loss); 80% confidence.