MSFT Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16

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MSFT Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16)

Below is a synthesis of the five models’ analyses and my overall view:

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SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS

• Grok/xAI Report  – Technicals show MSFT trading near short‐term supports (around 376–377) with price below key EMAs.  – The RSI on the 5‐minute chart is near oversold while the MACD shows weakening momentum.  – The options market’s max pain stands at $385, adding a contrarian bias, but overall the model sees a moderately bearish bias.  – Recommendation: BUY a naked put at the $365 strike (premium $0.53) entered at market open.

• Gemini/Google Report  – Technicals are clearly bearish on both intraday and daily scales with price below averages and near support.  – However, the max pain level at $385 provides a strong bullish counterweight, and mixed news plus a high VIX make the picture uncertain.  – Conclusion: Signals conflict and the model recommends NO TRADE today—waiting for a clearer directional move.