MSTR Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-09
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MSTR Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-09)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technical: Mixed short-term consolidation (price just below 10-EMA on M5) but clear uptrend on longer EMAs; RSI ~35 on M5 (neutral), RSI ~79 on daily (overbought); Bollinger Bands show moderate volatility; MACD suggests momentum may turn bullish on the M5. Sentiment: Elevated VIX (23.23), bullish analyst news (Mizuho uplift) and Bitcoin strength. Recommendation: Buy weekly $430 calls at open; profit target +20%, stop-loss 50% of premium; confidence 65%.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technical: Strong uptrend on all EMAs, RSI ~78 (overbought), MACD positive; support ~$416–$414, resistance broken at $422.67. Sentiment: VIX rising, bullish Mizuho target upgrade and BTC rally; max pain $395 far below spot. Recommendation: Buy weekly $440 calls (exp 5/16) with 100% profit target, 40% stop-loss; confidence 75%.
Llama/Meta Report
Technical: Moderately bullish bias, price above short EMAs, RSI overbought on daily but M5 neutral, MACD mixed short-term. Sentiment: Bullish catalysts outweigh max-pain pull, but caution on overbought readings. Recommendation: Weekly calls near $430–$435, premium $0.30–$0.60, profit target 50–75%, stop-loss 25–30%; confidence 70%.