MSTR Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-20
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MSTR Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-20)
Model Summaries • Grok/xAI Report – Technicals: 5-min chart shows slight short-term bearish bias (price below 10-EMA, MACD negative), daily chart mixed with long-term bullish momentum but recent bearish MACD cross. – Sentiment: Neutral VIX, mixed Bitcoin-related news vs. lawsuit risk; option chain shows call interest but max pain at $400. – Conclusion: Neutral/unclear, recommends no trade (40% confidence).
• Claude/Anthropic Report – Technicals: Short-term weak (M5 MACD negative, RSI <50), medium-term bullish but waning (daily RSI declining). – Sentiment: VIX normal, mixed news, max pain at $400, heavy call OI above, puts at 400. – Conclusion: Moderately bearish. Recommends buying 395-strike puts at $4.15, 35% gain target, 30% stop-loss (65% confidence).
• Llama/Meta Report – Technicals: Intraday bullish (M5 MACD positive, price above EMAs), daily slightly overbought but still above key EMAs. – Sentiment: Mixed news, normal VIX, max pain at $400 less influential if price holds above. – Conclusion: Moderately bullish. Recommends buying 415-strike calls at $8.00, 20% profit target, 30% stop-loss (70% confidence).