MSTR Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-20
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MSTR Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-20)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI
Technicals: Short-term bullish (price above 10/50 EMA, M5 MACD crossover), but below 200 EMA. RSI (~60) near mid-range. Bollinger Bands show price near upper band. Sentiment: VIX ~18 (normal), positive Bitcoin outlook vs. lawsuit noise. Options: Max pain $400; heavy call OI at $430. Recommendation: Buy the $430 Call (expiry 5/23) at $3.60 ask. Entry at open, profit target ~100% return, stop if price breaks below lower BB (~$408). Confidence ~65%.
Claude/Anthropic
Technicals: Bullish on 5 min and daily EMAs, RSI ~60. MACD bullish on M5 but weakening on daily. Sentiment: VIX falling, positive Bitcoin narrative vs. legal/accounting risks. Call OI outweighs puts, max pain $400. Recommendation: Buy the $425 Call (expiry 5/23) at $4.70 ask. Targets: 50% premium gain or stock hitting $425; stop at $2.35 (50% loss). Confidence ~65%.
DeepSeek
Technicals: Mixed EMAs, neutral RSI, MACD improving but daily negative. Key levels: support $400.83, resistance $414.59. Sentiment: VIX normal, mixed news, max pain $400. Low liquidity on attractive OTM strikes. Recommendation: No trade. Signals conflicted. Confidence ~45%.