MU Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-03
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MU Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-03)
Below is a synthesis of the five reports and my actionable recommendation:
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Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
• DeepSeek Report: – This report provided placeholder output without specific details. No actionable data was given.
• Gemini/Google Report: – Technical analysis shows MU trading below its 10-, 50‐, and 200-period EMAs on both the M5 and Daily charts. – RSI readings are low (around 30 on M5 and 25 on Daily), with the stock near the lower Bollinger Band. – With recent negative tariff news and elevated VIX (~27), the sentiment is moderately bearish. – The recommendation is to buy a naked put – specifically, the $74 put at a premium of about $0.51, with a 50% profit target (~$0.76) and a 50% stop loss (~$0.25).
• Grok/xAI Report: – Confirms a bearish bias since MU closed around $77.10, well below major moving averages, with a bearish setup on RSI and Bollinger Bands. – Notes mixed news but with significant open interest in puts (suggesting downside bias). – Recommends buying to open a naked put at the $75 strike for a premium of roughly $0.77, with a slightly higher premium than ideal but justified by liquidity and risk/reward considerations. • Stop-loss and exit if price shifts above ~$78.
• Claude/Anthropic Report: – Highlights the sharp bearish technical setup: MU trading far below its MAs and very oversold RSI values. – Emphasizes negative news (tariff concerns and risk warnings) as catalysts for further downside. – Proposes buying the $74 put for a premium of approximately $0.51, with a 50% profit target and a defined stop-loss.
• Llama/Meta Report: – Reiterates that MU is trading below key moving averages and the RSI readings indicate oversold conditions, despite the possibility of a bounce. – Also discusses a moderately bearish scenario and recommends the $75 put (with a premium of about $0.77) because of its liquidity—balanced against the oversold environment and max pain considerations.