NDX Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-22

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NDX Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-22)

Model Summaries

Grok/xAI Report

Technicals on 5-min show bearish pressure (price below 10/50 EMA, negative MACD, near lower Bollinger Band); daily remains bullish but slowing. RSI neutral short term, bullish daily. Max-pain at 20,900 suggests downward pull. Recommends buying the 21,000 put at ~$77.70 to capture a slide toward 20,900, with a 50% profit target (premium → ~$116) and 50% stop-loss (~$39), entry at open. Confidence 65%.

Claude/Anthropic Report

5-min bearish (price under all EMAs, bearish MACD); daily bullish but momentum fading. VIX normal; max-pain pull to 20,900; higher put OI at 21,000. Recommends 21,000 put at up to $80 ask, profit target $105 (35% gain), stop-loss $62 (20% loss), exit by Wednesday EOD. Confidence 65%.