NIO Earnings Signal (2025-06-02)
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NIO Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-06-02)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Average earnings move: 10.3% (σ 6.8%) Mixed directional bias (5 positive, 3 negative of last 8) IV crush ~30% post-earnings Pre-earnings downtrend, max-pain at $4.00, slight bearish call/put skew Directional view: Moderately Bearish Trade: Buy $4.00 put @ $0.54, expiry 2025-06-06
Claude/Anthropic Report
Limited strikes (only $3.50 calls/puts) with low premiums ($0.15–$0.17) Technicals extremely weak (RSI 13.6, below all MAs) Conclusion: No trade (premiums too low, poor risk/reward)