NVDA Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-16
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NVDA Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-16)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals: Price $135.49 above 50- & 200-day EMAs but below 20-day EMA; daily RSI ~80 (overbought); 15-min RSI ~57 (neutral); MACD bullish but 15-min momentum waning. Sentiment: VIX low (17.83), mixed news (positive China expansion vs. Burry short), Max Pain $122 suggests downside. Direction: Moderately Bearish. Trade: Buy the $135 put (May 30) at $6.00; TP at $7.20, SL at $5.40; 5–7 day hold; confidence 75%.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: Strong uptrend across all timeframes; daily RSI 79 (overbought but momentum persists); daily & weekly MACD bullish. Sentiment: VIX falling; call OI heavy at $140/$145; Max Pain $122 far below current price. Direction: Moderately Bullish. Trade: Buy the $139 call (May 30) at $4.85; breakeven $143.85; TP tiers at +25%/+40%/+60%; SL at $3.64 (-25%); hold ≤7 days; confidence 75%.