NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-08
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NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-08)
Below is a synthesis of the five model reports, their points of agreement and disagreement, and a clear, actionable recommendation.
Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
• Grok/xAI – M5 chart shows slight bearish momentum (MACD below signal, price in middle BB) despite price sitting between 10- and 50-period EMAs. – Daily chart strongly bullish (price above all EMAs, RSI ≈62, bullish MACD crossover). – VIX elevated; positive AI news; options data show heavy OI in calls near $120 and max-pain at $112. – Directional bias: Moderately Bullish. – Trade: Buy 120 call @ $0.49; PT: +50% ($0.74), SL: –50% ($0.245); enter at open; confid. 65%.
• Claude/Anthropic – Both M5 and daily charts bullish; daily RSI and MACD confirm medium-term uptrend. – VIX elevated but easing; positive news flow; heavy call OI at 119/120; max-pain at $112 warnings. – Directional bias: Moderately Bullish. – Trade: Buy 120 call @ $0.49; PT1: $0.98, PT2: $0.74; SL: $0.25; exit day-end; confid. 70%.
• Llama/Meta – Daily technicals bullish, but M5 chart shows short-term bearish momentum and consolidation. – Strong daily uptrend vs. strong max-pain pull to $112; elevated VIX. – Signals conflict; risk of violent whipsaw into expiry. – Directional bias: Neutral/Unclear. – Recommendation: No trade (confid. <60%).