OPEN Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-14
Join our Discord channel for live trading signals and discussions:
OPEN Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-14)
Model Summaries Grok/xAI: Technicals are bearish—price below key EMAs, daily RSI not oversold, muted MACD. Short-term charts show slight bullish momentum, but overall trend is downward. Recommends a naked put at ~$0.70 but flagged low confidence due to missing options data. Claude/Anthropic: Confirms a moderately bearish bias—price below all EMAs, RSI weak, no clear catalysts. Mixed short-term signals lead to no formal trade recommendation with a 55% confidence. Llama/Meta: Also sees moderately bearish direction. Suggests buying the weekly 0.70 put for a small premium if liquidity exists. Sets profit target at 50% and stop-loss at 100% of premium, with 65% confidence. DeepSeek: Finds conflicting signals between 5-minute (neutral/bullish) and daily (bearish). Concludes neutral/unclear bias and no trade, with only 45% confidence. Gemini/Google: Detailed bear-leaning view—dominant daily downtrend, minor short-term bounce. Proposes buying the weekly $0.70 put if premium falls between $0.05–$0.10 and liquidity is adequate. Confidence rated at 60% but heavily caveated by missing chain data. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement: All models agree on a dominant daily bearish trend and that the stock trades below key moving averages. Most envision buying puts if a trade is taken. Disagreement: Short-term bias—some see slightly bullish momentum on the 5-minute chart (Grok, Llama, Gemini), while DeepSeek and Claude lean to waiting. Confidence and trade execution details vary widely due to missing options data. Conclusion Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately Bearish. Recommended Trade: No trade recommended today. Strategy: Would be single-leg, naked puts if data were available. Expiration: Weekly (May 16, 2025). Premium Consideration: Ideally $0.10–$0.60, though real premiums here would be lower—no reliable quotes. Entry Timing: At open (if suitable options appeared). Confidence Level: Low (≈45%), below our 60% threshold. Key Risks and Considerations: • No strikes, premiums, volumes or open interest provided—cannot assess liquidity or bid/ask spreads. • Mixed short-term signals increase the chance of a false breakout. • Small-priced stocks often have wide spreads and low liquidity in weekly options. • Broader market volatility is muted (VIX ~18), so sharp moves are less likely.