ORCL Earnings Signal (2025-06-11)

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ORCL Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-06-11)

Below is the comprehensive synthesis of the models and market data for ORCL earnings options trading, followed by the final trade recommendation.

────────────────────────────── Summary of Key Points from Each Model:

• Grok/xAI Report  – Historical earnings on ORCL have averaged about a 5.2% move with roughly even up/down outcomes but with a slight tilt toward positive guidance.  – Pre‑earnings price action shows a strong uptrend even though the RSI is very high (87.66), implying some overbought caution.  – Their recommendation is moderately bullish and they favor a long call position using the weekly expiration (2025‑06‑13). In their plan the $200 call (ask premium $0.86; distance +12.67%) was highlighted for its leverage and low cost.  – Risk management rules include a small position (around 1% of the account), a stop‐loss around $0.25, and an exit at the earnings “after market close” (for AMC earnings).

• Llama/Meta Report  – They note that ORCL’s price is trending well above key moving averages and that the stock is near its 52‑week high.  – Although they detect overbought conditions, the volume and technicals support a bullish picture.  – Their analysis leans moderately bullish with a suggested call trade; their model picked a call at the nearby strike (in their report they mention a $180 call at ask $6.25), but that option’s premium is outside our ideal range and does not match the options‐data exactly.

• Gemini/Google Report  – Their detailed discussion reiterates strong momentum, a favorable bullish skew (calls trading at a higher premium than equivalent puts), and an overall moderately bullish setup driven by the AI/cloud narrative and low VIX.  – Their recommended trade was a long call – they mentioned a $195 call (ask $1.55) but left room for differing strike selections.  – They emphasize entry at pre‑earnings close with a tight stop given the risk from IV crush and the overbought technicals.