QQQ Stock Trading Plan 2025-05-25
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QQQ Stock Trading Plan (2025-05-25)
Final Trading Decision
Model Summaries
DS Report • Bias: Moderately Bearish (65% confidence) • Entry: Short QQQ at $509.24 (market open) • Stop‐Loss: $515.50 • Targets: $495.00 (primary), $485.00 (secondary) • Rationale: Price below short‐term EMAs, daily MACD divergence, rising VIX, bearish news, profit‐taking flows. LM Report • Bias: Moderately Bearish (70% confidence) • Entry: Short QQQ at $508.50 (market open) • Stop‐Loss: $515.00 • Target: $495.00 • Rationale: Short‐term bearish EMAs and MACD crossover, neutral RSI, elevated VIX, bearish headlines. GK Report • Bias: Moderately Bearish (70% confidence) • Entry: Short QQQ if opens below $509.00 • Stop‐Loss: $512.00 • Target: $504.00 • Rationale: Price below 50-day EMA, near M30 lower band, rising VIX, bearish news, profit‐taking pattern. GM Report • Bias: Moderately Bullish (65% confidence) • Entry: Long QQQ around $508.50–$509.50 (market open) • Stop‐Loss: $497.50 • Target: $538.00 • Rationale: Weekly bullish trend intact, daily pullback above key MA/BB support, MACD weekly bullish, 30-day +14%. CD Report • Bias: Moderately Bullish (65% confidence) • Entry: Long QQQ at $509.24 (or on dip to $507.50–$508.00) • Stop‐Loss: $504.50 • Targets: $517.71 (partial), $521.93 (full) • Rationale: Multi‐timeframe oversold RSI, support at BB middle/200-EMA, contrarian VIX setup in uptrend. Agreement vs. Disagreement Agreement: • QQQ near or below short‐term EMAs, testing support zones (M30 lower BB, 200-EMA). • VIX elevated (~22.3), signaling higher volatility and caution. • Mixed RSI readings: M30 leaning oversold, daily/weekly neutral to bullish. • News flow and institutional pullback suggest profit‐taking and macro caution. Disagreement: • Directional bias: DS/LM/GK short vs. GM/CD long. • Target levels: $495–504 on the downside vs. $517–538 on the upside. • Stop‐loss placement: $512–515.50 for shorts vs. $497.50–504.50 for longs.