QUBT Earnings Signal (2025-05-14)

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QUBT Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-14)

# QUBT Earnings Options Trade Plan

## 1. Historical Earnings Analysis - **Average Move Magnitude**: QUBT has shown ~±15.5% moves around prior earnings (range –20% to +10%, median ~12.5%). - **Directional Bias**: Slightly bearish historically (40% positive vs. 60% negative/flat). - **Guidance & Management**: Mixed guidance, recent interim CEO adds uncertainty. Positive partnership news partially offsets credibility risk. - **IV Crush Pattern**: Pre-earnings IV typically spikes ~2–3×, then drops ~50–60% post-report.

## 2. Current Setup Evaluation - **Price Action**: Trading at $8.79, above 50-day MA ($7.03) and 200-day MA ($5.62); 20-day MA = $7.31. - **Volume**: 19.75 M vs. 10-day avg 11.64 M (1.7×), indicating heightened positioning. - **RSI**: 68.7 (approaching overbought but still in momentum territory). - **Options Activity**: - Calls > puts in both volume and OI. - $9.00 calls: ask $0.65, bid $0.60, OI 4,028, volume 4,734. - Bullish call skew; put/call volume ratio ~0.19 for key strikes. - **IV Comparison**: Current IV elevated vs. normal, typical for pre-earnings.