RIVN Earnings Signal (2025-05-06)

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RIVN Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-06)

Summary of Model Reports

1. Grok/xAI

Historical move ≈ 10.3%, with 60% of earnings reactions bearish Elevated IV pre-earnings, typical IV crush of 35–45% Slight bearish skew in put/call ratio Recommends buying the 2025-05-09 $13.00 put at $0.49 (Moderately Bearish, 70% confidence)

2. Claude/Anthropic

Strong technical momentum: price > 50- and 200-day MAs, RSI ≈ 68.5 Call volume > put volume, max-pain at $12.50 supports upside risk Recommends the 2025-05-09 $13.50 call at $0.65 (Moderately Bullish, 65% confidence)

3. Llama/Meta

Bullish option skew, price between support $13.00 and resistance $14.00 Max-pain at $12.50 but higher call OI suggests upside bias Recommends the 2025-05-09 $14.00 call at $0.45 (Moderately Bullish, 80% confidence)