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RKLB Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-08)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Historical Earnings Analysis Average post‐earnings move: 8.5% Slight bullish bias (55% positive reactions) Significant IV crush (~45%) post‐earnings Current Setup RSI near overbought (68.8) Elevated IV (0.75 vs. historical 0.55) Balanced put/call skew with slight call tilt Market Context Sector tailwinds in Aerospace & Defense VIX elevated at 23.2 Directional Bias Moderately Bullish Trade Pick Buy 2025-05-09 $24 call @ $0.88
Claude/Anthropic Report
Historical Earnings Implied 7–8% expected move from straddle Wide 52-week trading range, strong momentum Current Setup High call OI at $24 and $25 strikes Max pain ~$22 Market Context Elevated VIX (23.2), positive sector tone Directional Bias Moderately Bullish Trade Pick Buy 2025-05-09 $24 call @ $0.88
Llama/Meta Report
Historical Earnings Insufficient data Current Setup Neutral put/call ratio, max pain @$22 RSI moderate, volume average Market Context Insider/short‐seller dumping noted (bearish flag) Directional Bias Moderately Bullish (balanced by negative signals) Trade Pick Buy 2025-05-09 $24 call @ $0.88