SJM Earnings Signal (2025-06-09)
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SJM Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-06-09)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Historical average earnings move of ~5.3% with a slight bearish bias (5/8 quarters negative). Elevated IV pre-earnings and significant IV crush (20–30%) post-earnings. Unusual activity in the $105 put. Recommendation: Buy 2025-06-20 $105 put at $0.80, confidence 65%, profit target $0.20, stop loss $0.40.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Weak fundamentals (–2.9% margin, –1.9% revenue growth) and bearish technicals (below 50 & 200 MA). Heavy $105 put flow (Vol 711 > OI 417). Recommendation: Buy 2025-06-20 $105 put at $0.80, confidence 72%, profit target $1.60, stop loss $0.40.
Llama/Meta Report
Historical slight positive earnings bias (3/4 up). Moderately bullish overall; max pain at $115. Recommendation: Buy 2025-06-20 $120 call at $0.45, confidence 70%, profit target $0.45, stop loss $0.225.