SMCI Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-05
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SMCI Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-05)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals show SMCI consolidating near support, with neutral RSI and mixed MACD signals across timeframes. Daily chart suggests underlying bullish bias, while 5-minute indicates potential mean reversion. Max pain at $33.00 and falling VIX point to a possible stabilization or mild bounce. Recommends a moderately bullish naked call at the $33.50 strike.
Gemini/Google Report
Mixed short-term bullish signals (5-min MACD crossover, RSI bounce) conflict with a clear daily downtrend and max pain “pinning” at $33.00. Elevated VIX and neutral options flow argue against a high-probability directional bias. Concludes the setup is too conflicted for a trade at open (confidence 35%).
Claude/Anthropic Report
SMCI remains in a moderate downtrend, trading below key EMAs on all charts, with weakening momentum indicators and low volume amid elevated VIX. Options chain skew and max pain at current price reinforce a bearish bias. Recommends buying the $30.00 weekly put, citing strong liquidity and attractive risk/reward (confidence 67%).