SMCI Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-06
Join our Discord channel for live trading signals and discussions:
SMCI Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-06)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report • Technicals: Short-term and longer-term bearish trend (5-day –10.9%, 30-day –21.2%), price below 10/50/200 EMAs. M5 RSI overbought at 74.3, MACD bullish but short-lived. • Sentiment: VIX elevated at 23.6 but falling, high put open interest at $33 max pain. Earnings today imply 9.5% move. • Direction: Bearish bias, expecting resistance to hold and post-earnings downside. • Trade: Buy the $33.00 put (weekly expiry 05-09) at $1.80. Profit target 50% of premium, stop-loss if SMCI > $34.00. Confidence 70%.
Claude/Anthropic Report • Technicals: Bullish on M5 (price above EMAs), bearish on Daily (price below 10-day EMA). M5 RSI overbought, Daily RSI neutral. Mixed MACD signals. • Sentiment: VIX elevated, earnings catalyst today, 9.5% expected move. Price at key resistance near max pain. • Direction: Neutral/unclear due to conflicting signals and imminent earnings. • Trade: No trade recommended today. Wait for post-earnings clarity. Confidence ~30%.
DeepSeek Report • Technicals: M5 bullish momentum but overbought; Daily in downtrend with bullish MACD divergence. Resistance at $33.19–33.21, support at $32.24. • Sentiment: VIX falling from elevated levels, heavy call OI at $35 and put OI at $30, earnings risk. • Direction: Neutral/unclear (55% confidence). Conflicting M5 vs Daily signals, binary earnings overhang. • Trade: No trade today. If forced, bearish $32.00 put (premium $1.32) but low confidence (45%).
Llama/Meta Report • Technicals: M5 showing short-term downtrend, RSI not extreme; Daily downtrend below 10 EMA, MACD bearish. Slightly bearish bias. • Sentiment: Cautious ahead of earnings, VIX 23.6. • Direction: Moderately bearish. • Trade: Buy $31.00 put at $0.95 (weekly expiry), profit target $1.40, stop-loss $0.50. Confidence 70%.